First TD Scorer Betting Explained
First touchdown scorer is one of the most popular Super Bowl props. You're betting on which player will score the first touchdown of the game.
**Current Favorites:** 1. Kenneth Walker III (SEA) +500 2. Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) +650 3. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) +900 4. Cooper Kupp (SEA) +950 5. TreVeyon Henderson (NE) +1000
**Key Stats:** - Running backs score first about 40% of the time - Tight ends score first ~15% - Wide receivers ~25% - Quarterbacks ~12% - Defense/Special Teams ~8%
Top First TD Scorer Picks
**Kenneth Walker III +500** ⭐ Best Bet Walker is explosive and Seattle may script a goal-line run early. Great value at this price.
**Rhamondre Stevenson +650** If the Patriots get inside the 5, Stevenson is their guy. Solid value.
**Jaxon Smith-Njigba +900** JSN has big-play ability. A long TD reception early is possible.
**Cooper Kupp +950** Kupp is a red zone monster. If Seattle drives deep, he's a threat.
Long Shot First TD Picks
**Sam Darnold +1400** Darnold has some rushing TDs this season. A QB sneak inside the 1 is possible.
**Hunter Henry +1200** Sneaky pick. TEs in the red zone can slip open in big games.
**Drake Maye +1800** If Maye scrambles in for a TD, it would be a memorable moment.
**Any Defensive Player +2500** Pick-six or fumble return? Seattle's defense is capable. Fun sprinkle bet.
First TD Strategy
**Betting Strategy:**
**Single Bet:** Kenneth Walker III +500 Highest probability play. Running backs dominate this prop.
**Two-Player Strategy:** - Kenneth Walker III +500 - Rhamondre Stevenson +650 Combined probability covers ~35% of outcomes.
**Spread the Risk:** Put small amounts on 4-5 players at +800 or longer. If any hits, you profit.
**Avoid:** - Betting the QB at short odds - Third or fourth receiving options - Backup running backs
**Best Books for First TD:** DraftKings and FanDuel offer the most player options and best odds.